Analysis: The statistics behind the Wallabies' slow starts against England

Thu, Jul 14, 2022, 6:32 AM
Nathan Williamson
by Nathan Williamson
The Wallabies faced off against England in the second Test at Suncorp Stadium.

The Wallabies and England have been relatively evenly matched across the three-match series. However, there's one area the visitors' dominate.

The hosts kicked off the series on a positive note as they blew England away to claim the first Test 30-28 in Perth.

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This was followed by an ambush in Suncorp as Eddie Jones' men charged into the lead and never looked back to claim a 25-17 win.

Whilst both games took vastly different turns, a statistical breakdown shows the similarities in how they began and the challenge Dave Rennie's men face withholding England in the first 20 minutes, acknowledged by forwards coach Dan McKellar.

“We’ve learnt plenty over the last two weeks. From one week to the next, you make subtle changes and tweaks so I’m sure this week will be no different (and) I think the learning from the first two games is our start," McKellar told reporters.

"I think we’ve shown a lot of character in the first two games to work our way back into the game.

“Our growth and improvement is around our start knowing they’re at the back end of the season and it’s been a long year for them but it’s difficult to take advantage if you're down 19 points after half an hour."

It may not reflect on the scoreboard, but the first Test was actually more dominant statistically-wise for the visitors than the second.

During the opening quarter in Perth, the English recorded twice as many carries (37-15) for 71 more metres (115-34) whilst breaking ten tackles as they commanded 72% territory.

However, the Wallabies were able to limit England to a single penalty, allowing them to fight back and overwhelm the visitors in the second half, particularly the fourth quarter, to claim victory.

Between the 60th and 70th minute, England did not make a single metre in attack as Dave Rennie's men powered home with two tries, enjoying 91% of territory as they sealed the game well before two late tries to Jack van Poortvliet and Henry Arundell.

The win seemed to mask the poor start for many supporters, with the visitors able to turn into better scoreboard pressure in the first 20 minutes of the second Test despite slightly less opportunities.

The Wallabies actually broke more tackles (8-7) and they had similar carries, with England enjoying a slight advantage (27-21).

However, the quality of the visitors' possession was significantly better as the hosts gave away six penalties, contributing to the English enjoying 65% territory and a 13-0 lead after 20 minutes.

With this in mind, McKellar pondered the different factors that could affect this imbalance.

“For the most part it’s pretty random isn’t it? Crystal ball stuff; do you have the ball? Are you defending…what you need to make sure you do is bring intent and accuracy," he notes.

However, there is a clear understanding within the Wallabies camp they need to avoid a similar lapse if they wish to claim the Ella-Mobbs Cup.

“If you have that on both sides of the ball, you give yourself a chance to start well," McKellar added

"Intent and accuracy are critical in those first couple of passages and we were certainly down on that in Brisbane.”

Wallabies v England: First 20 minutes

1st test - 3-0 England

  • Carries: 37-15 England
  • Carry metres: 115-34 England
  • Defenders beat: 10-1 England
  • Turnover conceded: 4-1 Wallabies
  • Territory: 72%-28% England

2nd Test - 13-0 England

  • Carries: 27-21 England
  • Carry metres: 95-58 England
  • Defenders beat: 8-7 Wallabies
  • Turnover conceded: 3-2 Wallabies
  • Territory: 65%-35% England

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