With just one week of pool games left in Rugby World Cup 2023, there are still several finals spots still up for grabs.
In fact, only Wales and England have qualified for the quarter-finals, with Steve Borthwick's side assured of top spot.
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It leaves an exciting final round of fixtures, with several games set to have major implications on the finals.
Rugby.com.au looks at the different scenarios for each team and pool, using World Rugby's guide
IMPORTANT TIE-BREAKERS TO NOTE
With the pools so close, it's worth noting the criteria if two teams are tied, because it differs from Super Rugby.
If two teams are tied on the same points after every game is played, the tie-breakers are as follows:
- Head to head Record
- Points difference (for and against)
- Tries difference (for and against)
- The Team which has scored most points
- The Team which has scored most tries
- The rankings as per the updated Official World Rugby World Rankings on October 9, 2023
POOL A
Namibia cannot qualify for the quarter-finals as they are on zero points with no games left to play, however, there are still four teams vying for position.
Top-ranked France can confirm their place on top of Pool A with a win over Italy in Lyon. Two losing bonus points would also be enough for France to top Pool A providing Italy do not get a try-bonus point in victory.
A bonus-point win for New Zealand will secure qualification as well as an All Blacks win and Italy loss.
Italy needs to beat France and they will qualify for the finals and can finish first with a Uruguay win over New Zealand.
Speaking of Uruguay, they would need to win by at least 80 points (with a bonus point) against New Zealand and have France defeat Italy to book their spot.
POOL B
This is a three horse race, with Tonga and Romania set to face off to see who can record their first win of the tournament, leaving Ireland and Scotland as the must-watch fixture.
Ireland will guarantee top spot with a win or two losing bonus points against Scotland, with South Africa finishing second.
If Ireland gets a bonus point and Scotland does not, Ireland will top the pool on the head-to-head rule, with South Africa in second.
If both teams get a bonus point and Scotland wins, it will come down to points difference. A Scottish win by 21 or more means Scotland and Ireland qualify, if they win by 20 or less, Scotland and South Africa qualify, with the Springboks finishing top.
POOL C
With Wales already in and Georgia and Portugal already out, the game to watch for Wallabies fans is Portugal v Fiji.
Fiji need one point against Portugal to confirm second place, meaning the Wallabies need Portugal to win by eight or more points without giving up a bonus point in defeat.
There is still a chance for the Fijians to finish top, needing a bonus point win and Wales to not pick up a point against Georgia
POOL D
England's spot on top and Chile's on the bottom is secured. Everything else is up for grabs, with the remaining spots decided between Argentina, Japan and Samoa.
The winner of Japan v Argentina will qualify for quarter-finals as runner-up, essentially making this an early finals game.
A draw is where things get interesting, opening the door for Samoa.
If both get try-scoring bonus points in a draw, Argentina will finish second on points difference. For Japan to qualify with a draw, they must be the only team to get a try-scoring bonus point.
If neither team do, Samoa must beat England by 29 points and get a try-bonus point to have the best points difference of the three teams to finish second
